Reports Calgary & Region Real Estate Report – Forecast 2023 Elevated lending rates are expected to weigh on sales in 2023, bringing levels down from the record-high in 2022. However, with forecasted sales of 25,921 in 2023, levels are still expected to be higher than the activity reported before the pandemic. Recent growth in migration and employment is expected to help offset the impact of […]
Reports 卡尔加里房地产:十一月份市场报告 十一月份民宅共售出1,648 套,比去年同期降了22%,但是比长线均值高出12%。虽然过去半年成交量萎缩、但是年初时期成交量火爆,从年初至今依旧比去年同期高出10%。增长部分主要是公寓市场、排屋销售。 “成交量下降主要在独立屋市场段,” CREB® 卡尔加里房地产局首席经济学家Ann-Marie Lurie提及, “贷款利率一涨再涨、低价位可选房源有限,很可能推迟买家购买计划。” (很多国际买家还是希望赶在2023年国际买家政策改变之前抢购一把) 另外,11月份新挂牌量降到了2005年以来的最低水平,也导致成交量跟不上。总体而言,房源平均在市场上的月份低于2个月,市场条件还是很吃紧。尤其是低端价位市场,因为高端价位房源供给增加。 尽管供给有限、价格自今年五月份的最高峰调整下来,但是11月份的市场基准价依旧比去年同期涨了近9%。 独立屋 11月份全部价位区间的房屋成交量都下降,结果比去年11月份降了34%,从年初至今的总体成交量比去年同期降了5%。就年初至今而言,50万一下房屋成交惨淡、因为新挂牌总体降了36%,买家们没啥可以买得。 与此同时,高价位区间新挂牌活跃、买家们有大量可对比房源,促使高价位房屋市场相对均衡,给市场价位带来不同影响。市场基准价收在$619,700, 从五月份的最高峰$648,500降下来。虽然过去几个月价位一直调整,但是总体依旧比去年同期高出近11%。 Semi-Detached 11月份成交量下降,从年初至今总体已经比去年同期降了1%,好在依旧比长线均值高出37%。新挂牌量同时下降了,库存可售房源也继续下降。市场条件保持相对吃紧状态、房源平均在市场上的月份有2个月,成交量/新挂牌比例是100%。 不像独立屋市场价位走低了,Semi-detached市场继续紧俏。11月份市场基准价收在 $562,800, 比前一个月稍微高一点儿,比长线均值高了10%。 排屋 新挂牌继续下降、交易放缓,成交量/新挂牌比例高达99%。库存可售房源降到383套,是自2013年以来11月份的最低水平。 低供给量帮助房源平均在市场上的月份低于2个月,市场非常紧俏。 虽然市场挺紧俏,但是市场基准价从今年六月份的最高峰调低到目前的$358,700,依旧比去年同期涨了14%。价格涨幅超过18%的区域包括东北区、北面区域、东南区。 共管公寓 虽然11月份新挂牌量下降,成交量却继续攀升,库存可售房源降到了自2013年以来的最低水平。市场继续保持紧俏状态,成交量/新挂牌比例超出100%,房源平均在市场上的月份低于2个月。 近期紧俏的市场态势没有改变价位太多,市场基准价收在 $277,000、和10月份没太大变化。从年初至今总体价位比去年同期涨了近10%,依旧低于前次高峰2014年的水平。 (本来还想继续给大家介绍11月份卖掉的最高$500多万的一套300+英亩的农场图片,瞬间意识到原来自己都陷入了人间崇尚金钱的怪圈儿。再仔细一搜索,阿尔伯塔省5万以内有27套在卖的独立屋,看,居家乐业可以有多便宜)
Reports 2022 CREB® FORECAST SUMMARY TOP CONSIDERATIONS FOR 2022: COVID-19 IMPACTS ON ECONOMY AND INFLATION- Supply disruptions caused by COVID-19 are expected to ease in 2022. However, if new variants emerge that delay a full re-opening, this could impact the economic recovery, while prolonging supply challenges and inflationary pressure. LENDING- The Bank of Canada is expected to increase interest rates in […]
Reports 2021 CREB® FORECAST SUMMARY In 2020, housing markets across the country surprised many with a stronger-than-expected rebound in the second half of the year despite record-high unemployment rates and significant job losses. Calgary did not hit record-high sales or prices in the third or fourth quarters, but still posted some of the strongest sales relative to the past five […]
Reports Calgary ECONOMIC UPDATE 2020 The Alberta economy continues to struggle. 2019 marks the fifth year since oil prices first collapsed. Following widening price differentials and continued difficulties getting energy product to market, we saw governments step in with production curtailments. This helped narrow the spread on price, likely preventing further pullbacks, but it also weighed on energy investment activity […]
Reports Calgary Real Estate Forecast 2019 TOP CONSIDERATIONS FOR 2019: • If conditions in the energy sector get worse, this could have downside risk on confidence, employment and wages, creating persistent oversupply and steeper-than-expected price declines in the housing market. • Signs of supply adjustments are present in the market. If the downside risk is averted, then the amount of oversupply […]
Reports Calgary Housing Outlook – 2018 THE HOUSING MARKET IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARDS RECOVERY IN 2018, BUT CHALLENGES REMAIN. Housing market conditions are expected to remain relatively unchanged in 2018, as the impact of higher lending rates and stricter lending criteria are offset by modest improvements in the economic climate. Recent changes may have prolonged the recovery period in […]
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